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AN OPEN SEDES MENTIS TECHNICAL METHOD · RESEARCH PREVIEW v0.6

PJC FRAMEWORK

Prospective Judgment Calibration Framework

PJC Framework

PJC is an open technical method for low-validity human–AI agent environments. Before an outcome is known, it fixes a judgment, its basis, confidence, and falsification conditions; after the outcome arrives, it settles the record in a structured way.

Read the guideView the recordSee evidence status

01 · PROBLEM

Task completion does not mean human judgment improved

Fluent output can manufacture certainty, and people can rewrite their earlier judgment once an outcome is known. PJC preserves the pre-outcome cognitive state so later reality can test it.

02 · METHOD

Three linked mechanisms

01

Prospective recording

Fix the judgment, basis, confidence, observation window, and falsification conditions before the outcome is known.

Produces an append-only commitment record.
02

Outcome settlement

After the observation window, settle against a pre-specified external outcome source.

Distinguishes supported, contradicted, inconclusive, and invalid records.
03

Temporal calibration

Compare confidence, judgment types, and outcomes across repeated cycles.

Surfaces persistent bias rather than explaining one result.

03 · BOUNDARIES

Scope of use

Use when

  • Outcomes arrive later
  • Judgments repeat
  • Outcome sources can be pre-specified
  • Confidence needs calibration

Do not use as

  • Pure creative expression
  • Values without observable outcomes
  • One-off incomparable choices
  • Using records as performance scoring

04 · EVIDENCE

Current evidence status

The method structure exists; effectiveness is still under evaluation. PJC currently makes no promise of higher efficiency, accuracy, or team performance.

Method structure
Specified
Internal operability
Under evaluation
Cross-context validity
Not yet tested
Calibration effect
Insufficient data
External peer review
Not conducted
Read the full evidence disclosure

05 · DOCUMENTATION

Method documents

Citable · criticisable · revision-tracked
01

Practitioner guide

Run a complete PJC cycle.

02

Judgment record

Fields, states, and a worked example.

03

Research note

Sources, mechanisms, and testable hypotheses.

04

Workflow integration

Structural constraints for agent systems.

05

Evidence and cases

Current status and pilot standards.

06

Claim register

Evidence level and falsification criteria.

07

Changelog

Version and terminology history.

08

License

CC BY 4.0 open license.